Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.032349 0.038229 0.044342 0.051133 0.058428 0.065995 0.074405
2025-12-14 0.024411 0.032846 0.042152 0.053002 0.065148 0.078190 0.093127
2025-12-21 0.018714 0.028504 0.039899 0.053726 0.069699 0.087282 0.107833
2025-12-28 0.016506 0.027666 0.041179 0.058028 0.077893 0.100098 0.126373
2026-01-04 0.012222 0.023503 0.037915 0.056520 0.079001 0.104585 0.135282
2026-01-11 0.009870 0.021460 0.036955 0.057510 0.082807 0.111972 0.147310
2026-01-18 0.007744 0.019349 0.035637 0.057838 0.085647 0.118096 0.157768
2026-01-25 0.006077 0.017604 0.034592 0.058342 0.088568 0.124211 0.168126
2026-02-01 0.004553 0.015760 0.033203 0.058244 0.090625 0.129210 0.177102
2026-02-08 0.002793 0.012962 0.030138 0.055704 0.089457 0.130208 0.181259
2026-02-15 0.001793 0.011269 0.028511 0.054954 0.090439 0.133715 0.188305
2026-02-22 0.001222 0.010299 0.027900 0.055528 0.093064 0.139179 0.197646
2026-03-01 0.000809 0.009575 0.027701 0.056783 0.096735 0.146145 0.209068
2026-03-08 0.000573 0.009263 0.028173 0.059008 0.101710 0.154771 0.222555
2026-03-15 0.000293 0.008465 0.027708 0.059819 0.104791 0.161032 0.233187
2026-03-22 0.000302 0.009057 0.029768 0.064372 0.112863 0.173527 0.251373
2026-03-29 0.000049 0.007520 0.027759 0.062781 0.112666 0.175649 0.256960
2026-04-05 0.000003 0.006969 0.027532 0.063827 0.115982 0.182156 0.267856
2026-04-12 NaN 0.006252 0.026883 0.064173 0.118315 0.187401 0.277199
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005650 0.026383 0.064705 0.120875 0.192913 0.286852
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004931 0.025517 0.064601 0.122520 0.197235 0.295024
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003671 0.023136 0.061919 0.120483 0.196774 0.297236
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002986 0.021963 0.061127 0.121039 0.199604 0.303484